Revisiting Deceitful Claims about School Funding and Outcomes (a thread)


I’ve had enough. This has to stop. I’ve explained on at least a few occasions that there exists a cottage industry for whom their bread and butter is telling state legislatures and judges that money simply doesn’t matter for schools (Merchants of Doubt): That public schools all have more than enough to do what they need to do and they all just need to do better with what they have – especially those over-funded schools in high poverty settings.

I’ve also explained that the two most disingenuous junk analyses oft used to “display” that money doesn’t matter are various forms of the “long term trend” graph (money went up, outcomes were stagnant or went down, so money can’t matter) and the “clouds of doubt” graphs (with money on the X and outcomes on the Y, there’s no apparent relationship). These bogus assertions and deceitful illustrations should have died a long time ago. Why? because they are bogus and deceitful and because those who now insist on continuing to use them have been informed, over and over again. So they are bogus and INTENTIONALLY deceitful. Period. Full Stop. (and not this author’s first offense by any means)

So, here’s a BlueSky thread from a short while back:

The link: https://www.educationnext.org/could-disappointing-2017-naep-scores-due-to-great-recession/

Here are those graphs – for Oregon, because we had to spend a stupid amount of time explaining why the Edunomics analysis was garbage to policymakers in that state:

Link to that report: https://www.shankerinstitute.org/resource/does-money-matter-in-education

link to book: https://hep.gse.harvard.edu/9781682532423/educational-inequality-and-school-finance/ Full discrediting of “long term trend” AND “clouds of doubt”

Link to paper on how to conduct rigorous analyses of funding and outcomes: https://edworkingpapers.com/ai25-1127

Link to that report – which actually applies rigorous analyses: https://olis.oregonlegislature.gov/liz/2025R1/Downloads/CommitteeMeetingDocument/291280

Even TikTokers an see through this flimsy stuff (and I don’t like much of what this guy posts):

Link: https://www.tiktok.com/@nicholasjkurian/video/7476603053466979614